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DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

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DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby TreeTopsRanch » Tue Dec 03, 2013 1:03 pm

http://www.eoshd.com/content/11409/consumer-dslrs-dead-5-years :(

An interesting take on how the smart phones are killing the DSLR's cameras for consumers.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby Steve Grisetti » Tue Dec 03, 2013 1:08 pm

I'll believe it when packages from Amazon start delivering themselves to my doorstep.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby Peru » Tue Dec 03, 2013 2:01 pm

Steve Grisetti wrote:I'll believe it when packages from Amazon start delivering themselves to my doorstep.


http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2013 ... y/3799021/
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby Steve Grisetti » Tue Dec 03, 2013 2:20 pm

Well, yeah. There's that.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby John 'twosheds' McDonald » Wed Dec 04, 2013 1:56 am

As an extension to the 'phone doing everything' line of thought, my view is that the way smartphones are progressing the tablet market may also prove to be transient.

As smartphones get ever more powerful the rise of the smartphone docking station will begin. Smartphones will be the portable element but when one wants to carry out something that needs PC style power, the docking station, with full size keyboard and screen, will facilitate it. The present analogy is the iPhone docking facility for playing music. Extend that idea to a docking station where the smartphone can simply be "dropped in", that will have its own powerful CPU and storage so that all music/photos/data held on the smartphone can be backed up to the docking station and manipulated there. Photoshop, Premiere Pro and MS Office etc. on a smartphone docking station anyone?

Well that's my twopennyworth anyway. :-k
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby Chuck Engels » Wed Dec 04, 2013 9:46 am

5 years ago people were saying the same thing about tape based camcorders, they are still around.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby TreeTopsRanch » Wed Dec 04, 2013 11:32 am

Yes, they are still around but not mainstream. I think that is what the article is all about. Some will use DSLR's for professional use like wedding events, etc. but the mainstream (general population) will be satisfied with their cell phone videos and photos. Just like the 3D TV hype. Some bought them but the mainstream public did not. I predict the same for 4k TV.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby momoffduty » Wed Dec 04, 2013 11:57 am

Chuck Engels wrote:5 years ago people were saying the same thing about tape based camcorders, they are still around.


I'm dusting off my HV30 to shoot the grand daughter's preK program next week. If I wanted only a 3 minute clip then the Dslr, but with 35 to 45 minutes to record I'll stick with the tape based. Still use it for the Uni's Commencements.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby Peru » Wed Dec 04, 2013 1:38 pm

I still like my Sony HDV camera, but the video quality difference between that and my wife's DSLR is significant.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby momoffduty » Wed Dec 04, 2013 1:51 pm

Peru wrote:I still like my Sony HDV camera, but the video quality difference between that and my wife's DSLR is significant.


That is why I usually punch up the color on the HV30 in post. Just enough to give some depth and contrast.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby Dave McElderry » Wed Dec 04, 2013 2:34 pm

TreeTopsRanch wrote:Yes, they are still around but not mainstream. I think that is what the article is all about. Some will use DSLR's for professional use like wedding events, etc. but the mainstream (general population) will be satisfied with their cell phone videos and photos. Just like the 3D TV hype. Some bought them but the mainstream public did not. I predict the same for 4k TV.

I think 4K TV will be where HD was a few years ago. It won't be long before 4K is all that's being offered, and the prices will be competitive. People will buy them because that's what's on the shelf, not necessarily because they feel the need for 4K.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby Ron Hunter » Thu Dec 05, 2013 1:22 pm

Peru, you mentioned a significant quality difference between your HDV camcorder and your wife's DSLR. I am aware that DSLR's have the capability for great depth of field and they allow interchangeable lenses, but I wasn't aware of a noticeable video quality difference between them.

Cheryl, have you seen a quality improvement with DSLR vs camcorder?

Anyone else have an opinion on that?
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby Peru » Thu Dec 05, 2013 2:06 pm

Ron Hunter wrote:Peru, you mentioned a significant quality difference between your HDV camcorder and your wife's DSLR. I am aware that DSLR's have the capability for great depth of field and they allow interchangeable lenses, but I wasn't aware of a noticeable video quality difference between them.


My camcorder is HDV: 1440 X 1080.
My wife's DSLR is HD: 1920 X 1080.

That's the difference.
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby _Paz_ » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:44 pm

Years ago I heard that Canon cameras were a small part of the Canon business and that their Canon copiers were their big money maker. Considering that I've seen Polaroid and Kodak bite the dust, it doesn't seem impossible to me that DSLR ssles might also decline to the point of not matching cost of R&D. I'd hate to see it happen, but it doesn't seem impossible.

I can remember when photography forums were full of posts speculating whether the DSLR would ever be able to compete with a film SLR. Now I have film SLRs that haven't come out of the cupboard for years. When I designed our house I planned on having a darkroom in the attic. No need. No stink, no chemicals.

I have a 4x5 view camera. Haven't used it in a couple of decades. Each shot was expensive. Film took up room in the refrigerator. The 4x5 Polaroids I used to be sure my focus and lighting were right are probably no longer available for purchase.

A friend recently gave me a film SLR she didn't want because it had belonged to her ex-husband. I've tried to give it to a local private school and they don't want it because of the cost of film and developing. Their students already have plenty of camera phones and computers. (Anybody want it?)

My Canon 7D, 24 frames per second and my 1080p HD, 60 frames per second camcorders both make good images but the DSLR only films for 12 minutes at the time. I don't bother using it. OTOH, Mom's DSLR footage is fabulously sharp. Might be the particular lens she uses. I've considered trying a lens like hers but...
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Re: DSLR's may be dead in 5 years

Postby sidd finch » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:15 pm

My camcorder is HDV: 1440 X 1080.
My wife's DSLR is HD: 1920 X 1080.

That's the difference.


That is true but they still cover the same area. The 1440 pixel is rectangular while the 1920 is square. I think the main difference is the quality of lens that the DSLR has. It would be interesting to see what the difference between HDV and 1920 is with each camera using the same lens.

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